Zambia vs Guinea-Bissau: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2018 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
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What was the result of Zambia vs Guinea-Bissau?
Zambia won 2-1 on October 10, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Guinea-Bissau have 1, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Gabon(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Namibia(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 24, 2018 | South Africa(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jan 27, 2018 | Sudan(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Mozambique(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Guinea(away) | 0-7 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Guinea(home) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 8, 2017 | Gambia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Namibia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy