Where and when is Conquense vs Numancia played?

Conquense vs Numancia is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Conquense vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca

Conquense

Numancia

The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Conquense vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Conquense (1,911) and Numancia (1,942).

Conquense win41 %

Draw28 %

Numancia win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Conquense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026	Xerez(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Xerez(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Conquense win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Numancia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 28, 2025	Numancia 1-2 Conquense	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Numancia vs Conquense on Aug 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Conquense	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	4/15
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42	30	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Numancia?: The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Numancia.
Where and when is Conquense vs Numancia played?: Conquense vs Numancia is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.