Conquense vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Conquense (1,947) and Numancia (1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs Numancia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Numancia
4-3-3- 9Jony González
- 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
- 26C. Godson
- 8M. Gning
- 5O. De Frutos
- 6N. Lucas Rey
- 2Marcos Sánchez
- 16Carlos Gutiérrez
- 22Fermín Ruiz
- 4Ian Olivera
- 1M. Abad
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Numancia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Conquense win, 0 draws, 0 Numancia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | Numancia 1-2 Conquense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Numancia vs Conquense on Aug 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (13 points from 6 matches) and Numancia sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Numancia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
A question about Conquense vs Numancia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Numancia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Numancia.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Numancia played?
- Conquense vs Numancia is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Gimnástica SegovianavsCalamocha
- Feb 21, 2027Salamanca UDSvsReal Valladolid II
- Feb 21, 2027RSD AlcalávsAlbacete II
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético AstorgavsGetafe II
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético TordesillasvsA Madrid III
- Feb 21, 2027Real ÁvilavsSS Reyes
- Feb 21, 2027Calvo SotelovsNavalcarnero
- Feb 21, 2027GuadalajaravsCF Talavera