Guadalajara vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs CF Talavera?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,881) and CF Talavera (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; CF Talavera have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Cacereño(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guadalajara win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 CF Talavera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Guadalajara 1-1 CF Talavera | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | CF Talavera 2-0 Guadalajara | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CF Talavera 0-0 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Guadalajara 2-0 CF Talavera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CF Talavera 0-0 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Guadalajara 1-2 CF Talavera | Copa Federacion |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs CF Talavera on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CF Talavera | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (74 points from 34 matches) and CF Talavera sit 3rd (66 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
| 3 | CF Talavera | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 27 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs CF Talavera?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for CF Talavera.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs CF Talavera played?
- Guadalajara vs CF Talavera is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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