Match

Guadalajara vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara

GuadalajaraCF Talavera

The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guadalajara vs CF Talavera?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,881) and CF Talavera (1,898).

Guadalajara win42 %
Draw28 %
CF Talavera win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; CF Talavera have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guadalajara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Marchamalo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Athletic Club II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Arenteiro(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Getafe II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Cacereño(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ourense CF(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guadalajara win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 CF Talavera win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Guadalajara 1-1 CF TalaveraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 4, 2026CF Talavera 2-0 GuadalajaraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 1, 2025CF Talavera 0-0 GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 22, 2024Guadalajara 2-0 CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 18, 2024CF Talavera 0-0 GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2023Guadalajara 1-2 CF TalaveraCopa Federacion

Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs CF Talavera on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guadalajara1.51.349/157/15
CF Talavera0.90.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guadalajara sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (74 points from 34 matches) and CF Talavera sit 3rd (66 points from 34 matches).

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Guadalajara342284602274
3CF Talavera341996502766

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs CF Talavera?
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for CF Talavera.
Where and when is Guadalajara vs CF Talavera played?
Guadalajara vs CF Talavera is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guadalajara and CF Talavera

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