Where and when is Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas played?

Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

Numancia

Atlético Tordesillas

The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Numancia (1,942) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,919).

Numancia win45 %

Draw27 %

Atlético Tordesillas win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Atlético Tordesillas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Real Ávila(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15
Atlético Tordesillas	1.7	1.1	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas?: The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Tordesillas.
Where and when is Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas played?: Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.