Match

Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaAtlético Tordesillas

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas?

On Elo ratings, Numancia has 1,972 points and Atlético Tordesillas 1,909.

67%21%12%
Numancia winDrawAtlético Tordesillas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Numancia

4-4-2
  1. 18Pablo Cortés
  2. 9Jony González
  1. 14César Moreno
  2. 19I. Leon
  3. 8M. Gning
  4. 20J. Dominguez
  1. 23Borja López
  2. 4Pelayo Suárez
  3. 5Fran González
  4. 27S. Flores
  1. 13G. Sunico

Atlético Tordesillas

4-3-3
  1. 10Chatun
  2. 7D. Diez
  3. 20J. Escudero
  1. 6M. Hernandez
  2. 14A. Conejo
  3. 24Emi
  1. 4J. Castano
  2. 12F. Manja
  3. 3D. Herrador
  4. 17A. Rodriguez
  1. 13Farolo

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 29, 2026Oviedo(home)3-3Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Navalcarnero(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026CF Talavera(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Atlético Tordesillas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Numancia(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 27, 2026Mirandes(home)3-3Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Guadalajara(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Numancia win, 0 draws, 0 Atlético Tordesillas wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Tordesillas 1-2 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.20.977/155/15
Atlético Tordesillas1.31.739/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Numancia sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (13 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Tordesillas sit 10th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Numancia83418413
10Atlético Tordesillas823312119

A question about Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Atlético Tordesillas.
Where and when is Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
Numancia vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Numancia and Atlético Tordesillas

Ready to know everything about football?