Match

Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 8, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, Corpus Christi, Texas

Corpus ChristiFort Wayne

The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fort Wayne. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Corpus Christi (1,727) and Fort Wayne (1,720).

Corpus Christi win45 %
Draw27 %
Fort Wayne win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corpus Christi have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Fort Wayne have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One
Fort Wayne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Alta(away)0-3USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Union Omaha(home)0-2USL League One
Jul 26, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)1-3USL League One
Jul 18, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)3-0USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Corpus Christi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fort Wayne win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2026Fort Wayne 1-1 Corpus ChristiUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Fort Wayne vs Corpus Christi on May 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15
Fort Wayne1.31.549/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Corpus Christi sit 9th in USL League One (30 points from 23 matches) and Fort Wayne sit 10th (27 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Corpus Christi23797283230
10Fort Wayne20767262427

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne?
The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fort Wayne.
Where and when is Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne played?
Corpus Christi vs Fort Wayne is played on October 8, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Corpus Christi and Fort Wayne

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