Where and when is Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne played?

Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne is played on October 10, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Werner Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Werner Park, Papillion, Nebraska

Union Omaha

Fort Wayne

The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Fort Wayne. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne?

Union Omaha starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,720).

Union Omaha win63 %

Draw20 %

Fort Wayne win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Omaha have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Fort Wayne have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Omaha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Richmond Kickers(home)	5-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One

Fort Wayne
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Alta(away)	0-3	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Union Omaha(home)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 26, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 18, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Union Omaha win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fort Wayne win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne 0-2 Union Omaha	USL League One
Jun 7, 2026	Union Omaha 4-2 Fort Wayne	USL League One Cup

Last archived meeting: Fort Wayne vs Union Omaha on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fort Wayne score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Omaha	2.1	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
Fort Wayne	1.3	1.5	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Omaha sit 1st in USL League One (45 points from 22 matches) and Fort Wayne sit 10th (27 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	14	3	5	40	24	45
10	Fort Wayne	20	7	6	7	26	24	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne?: The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Fort Wayne.
Where and when is Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne played?: Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne is played on October 10, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Werner Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.