Match

Corpus Christi vs Forward Madison: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, Corpus Christi, Texas

Corpus ChristiForward Madison

The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Forward Madison. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Corpus Christi vs Forward Madison?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Corpus Christi (1,712) and Forward Madison (1,733).

Corpus Christi win43 %
Draw27 %
Forward Madison win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corpus Christi have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Forward Madison have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One
Forward Madison
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Charlotte Independence(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-1USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Boise(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-0USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Corpus Christi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Forward Madison win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Forward Madison 3-0 Corpus ChristiUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Corpus Christi on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15
Forward Madison2.21.1310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Corpus Christi sit 9th in USL League One (30 points from 23 matches) and Forward Madison sit 3rd (40 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Forward Madison211245412240
9Corpus Christi23797283230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Corpus Christi vs Forward Madison?
The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Forward Madison.
Where and when is Corpus Christi vs Forward Madison played?
Corpus Christi vs Forward Madison is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Corpus Christi and Forward Madison

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