Match

Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, Corpus Christi, Texas

Corpus ChristiUnion Omaha

The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Corpus Christi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha?

Union Omaha starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,712).

Corpus Christi win33 %
Draw26 %
Union Omaha win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corpus Christi have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One
Union Omaha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sarasota Paradise(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Richmond Kickers(home)5-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)3-1USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Fort Wayne(away)2-0USL League One
Jul 22, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-1USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Corpus Christi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Union Omaha win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Union Omaha 2-1 Corpus ChristiUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Union Omaha vs Corpus Christi on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15
Union Omaha2.11.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Corpus Christi sit 9th in USL League One (30 points from 23 matches) and Union Omaha sit 1st (45 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Union Omaha221435402445
9Corpus Christi23797283230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha?
The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Corpus Christi.
Where and when is Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha played?
Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Corpus Christi and Union Omaha

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