Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, Corpus Christi, Texas
The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Corpus Christi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha?
Union Omaha starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corpus Christi have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westchester SC(home) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 20, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 5-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(away) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Corpus Christi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Union Omaha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Union Omaha 2-1 Corpus Christi | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Union Omaha vs Corpus Christi on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Union Omaha | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corpus Christi sit 9th in USL League One (30 points from 23 matches) and Union Omaha sit 1st (45 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 45 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha?
- The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Corpus Christi.
- Where and when is Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha played?
- Corpus Christi vs Union Omaha is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves