Correcaminos UAT II vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, Ciudad Víctoria
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Correcaminos UAT II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Correcaminos UAT II vs FC Santiago?
FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Correcaminos UAT II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Apodaca(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Chilpancingo(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | FC Santiago(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Zitacuaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Correcaminos UAT II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Santiago win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II 1-1 FC Santiago | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | FC Santiago 0-2 Correcaminos UAT II | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Correcaminos UAT II vs FC Santiago on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Correcaminos UAT II score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Correcaminos UAT II | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Santiago | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Correcaminos UAT II sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (36 points from 26 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 21 | 51 |
| 8 | Correcaminos UAT II | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Correcaminos UAT II vs FC Santiago?
- The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Correcaminos UAT II.
- Where and when is Correcaminos UAT II vs FC Santiago played?
- Correcaminos UAT II vs FC Santiago is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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