Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci?
Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Héroes de Zaci have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Neza(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Héroes de Zaci | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and Héroes de Zaci sit 9th (34 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 19 | 66 |
| 9 | Héroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 46 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci?
- The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Héroes de Zaci.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci played?
- Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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