Match

Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real ApodacaHéroes de Zaci

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,810).

Real Apodaca win73 %
Draw17 %
Héroes de Zaci win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Héroes de Zaci have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Héroes de Zaci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Montañeses(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Neza(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Cañoneros Marina(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026Celaya(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca1.51.076/158/15
Héroes de Zaci1.22.335/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and Héroes de Zaci sit 9th (34 points from 24 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Apodaca262123471966
9Héroes de Zaci2410212334634

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci?
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci played?
Real Apodaca vs Héroes de Zaci is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Apodaca and Héroes de Zaci

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