Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo
The Footlab AI model makes Vaqueros Reynosa the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vaqueros Reynosa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
Vaqueros Reynosa starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Acatlan
Not enough data to predict the Acatlan lineup.
Vaqueros Reynosa
Not enough data to predict the Vaqueros Reynosa lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Vaqueros Reynosa have 5, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | FC Santiago(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Apodaca(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Saltillo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vaqueros Reynosa score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acatlan | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Vaqueros Reynosa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 6/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acatlan sit 4th in Liga Premier Serie A (13 points from 7 matches) and Vaqueros Reynosa sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Acatlan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vaqueros Reynosa the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Acatlan.
- Where and when is Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa played?
- Acatlan vs Vaqueros Reynosa is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 28, 2026Correcaminos UAT IIvsFC Santiago
- Nov 28, 2026Cañoneros MarinavsHalcones Negros
- Nov 28, 2026GuerrerosvsAtlético Saltillo
- Nov 28, 2026AcambarovsReal Refineros
- Nov 28, 2026Real ApodacavsHéroes de Zaci
- Nov 29, 2026Dragones de OaxacavsCalor de San Pedro
- Nov 29, 2026La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsMineros de Fresnillo