Cortes vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Francisco Javier, Cortes (Navarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Cortes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Subiza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cortes vs Subiza?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Cortes (1,735) and Subiza (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cortes vs Subiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cortes
Not enough data to predict the Cortes lineup.
Subiza
Not enough data to predict the Subiza lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cortes have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Subiza have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cortes wins, 1 draw, 5 Subiza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Subiza 4-1 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Cortes 0-2 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Cortes 1-1 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Subiza 1-0 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Subiza 1-0 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Cortes 1-3 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cortes score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Subiza | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cortes sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (5 points from 6 matches) and Subiza sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Subiza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Cortes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Cortes vs Subiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cortes vs Subiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Cortes.
- Where and when is Cortes vs Subiza played?
- Cortes vs Subiza is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Francisco Javier, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.