Subiza vs Izarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sotoburu, Subiza
The Footlab model makes Subiza the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Izarra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Subiza vs Izarra?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Subiza (1,820) and Izarra (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Subiza have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Izarra have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 30, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 24, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Subiza win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Izarra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra 4-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Subiza 1-0 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Subiza 0-0 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Izarra 4-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 4, 2025 | Izarra 1-5 Subiza | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Subiza 1-3 Izarra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Subiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Izarra score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Izarra | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Subiza sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (54 points from 34 matches) and Izarra sit 3rd (61 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Izarra | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 31 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Subiza vs Izarra?
- The Footlab model makes Subiza the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Izarra.
- Where and when is Subiza vs Izarra played?
- Subiza vs Izarra is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sotoburu, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.