Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab AI model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Gazte Berriak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valle Egüés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Valle Egüés (1,798) and Gazte Berriak (1,767).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valle Egüés
Not enough data to predict the Valle Egüés lineup.
Gazte Berriak
Not enough data to predict the Gazte Berriak lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gazte Berriak have 4, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Valle Egüés wins, 1 draw, 0 Gazte Berriak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gazte Berriak 0-0 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Gazte Berriak vs Valle Egüés on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gazte Berriak score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gazte Berriak | 1.0 | 0.8 | 4 | 3/9 | 2/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (13 points from 9 matches) and Gazte Berriak sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gazte Berriak | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Valle Egüés | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Gazte Berriak.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak played?
- Valle Egüés vs Gazte Berriak is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.