Göztepe vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Göztepe the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Başakşehir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Göztepe vs Başakşehir?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Göztepe (2,017) and Başakşehir (2,046).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Göztepe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Samsunspor(away) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Göztepe win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Göztepe 1-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Göztepe 4-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Başakşehir 4-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Göztepe 0-0 Başakşehir | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Başakşehir 3-1 Göztepe | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Göztepe score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Göztepe sit 13th in Süper Lig (1 points from 2 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Göztepe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Göztepe vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Göztepe the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Başakşehir.
- Where and when is Göztepe vs Başakşehir played?
- Göztepe vs Başakşehir is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.