Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Gaziantep FK (1,887) and Kasımpaşa (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gaziantep FK win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kasımpaşa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 2-3 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 2-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 2-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Kasımpaşa 4-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 6th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.