Match

Corumbaense vs Ivinhema: prediction and stats

Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 2Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Artur Marinho, Corumbá, Mato Grosso do Sul

CorumbaenseIvinhema

The Footlab AI model makes Corumbaense the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ivinhema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Corumbaense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Corumbaense vs Ivinhema?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Corumbaense (1,459) and Ivinhema (1,499).

48%26%26%
Corumbaense winDrawIvinhema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Corumbaense vs Ivinhema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Corumbaense

4-3-3
  1. RRomarinho
  2. IItalo Pica-Pau
  3. LLucas Cassiano de Almeida
  1. GGustavo Henrique Amaral
  2. LLaercio Jose Aguiar Cavalheiro Junior
  3. PPeterson
  1. JJaime Cardoso Pinto da Silva
  2. VVinícius Roberto Conceição da Costa
  3. EElivelton Fabrizio Vicente de Oliveira
  4. RRodrigo Digão
  1. RRenan Matheus de Oliveira Brites

Ivinhema

Not enough data to predict the Ivinhema lineup.

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corumbaense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ivinhema have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Corumbaense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Operario Ferroviario(away)1-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 15, 2026Operario Ferroviario(home)1-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 11, 2026Dourados Atlético(home)2-0Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 8, 2026Dourados Atlético(away)1-1Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 1, 2026Costa Rica (away)2-0Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 29, 2026Democrata GV(away)1-1Serie D
Jun 21, 2026Democrata GV(home)3-1Serie D
Jun 14, 2026CRAC(away)1-1Serie D
May 31, 2026Uberlandia(home)1-1Serie D
May 23, 2026Ipatinga(away)0-3Serie D

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Corumbaense wins, 1 draw, 1 Ivinhema win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2026Corumbaense 1-0 IvinhemaSul-Matogrossense
Feb 16, 2025Ivinhema 6-1 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense
Feb 24, 2024Corumbaense 4-1 IvinhemaSul-Matogrossense
Jan 27, 2024Ivinhema 2-2 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense

Last archived meeting: Corumbaense vs Ivinhema on Feb 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Corumbaense score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ivinhema score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Corumbaense1.21.159/155/15
Ivinhema1.31.5310/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Corumbaense sit 3rd in Sul-Matogrossense (13 points from 9 matches) and Ivinhema sit 4th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Corumbaense934210713
4Ivinhema9333101112

A question about Corumbaense vs Ivinhema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Corumbaense vs Ivinhema?
The Footlab AI model makes Corumbaense the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ivinhema.
Where and when is Corumbaense vs Ivinhema played?
Corumbaense vs Ivinhema is played on January 20, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Artur Marinho, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Corumbaense and Ivinhema