Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 2Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Operario Ferroviario the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Naviraiense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Operario Ferroviario wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Operario Ferroviario (1,551) and Naviraiense (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Operario Ferroviario
4-3-3- 11Roger
- 10Robinho
- 27A. Manoel
- 8Matheus Galdezani
- 22Leylon
- 5Jonas
- 2Gabriel Bitencourt da Silva
- 15Titi
- 3Jonilson
- 16Mateus Petri
- 1Lucas
Naviraiense
Not enough data to predict the Naviraiense lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Operario Ferroviario have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Naviraiense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Ipatinga(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | CRAC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | ABECAT Ouvidorense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| May 16, 2026 | Ivinhema(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 9, 2026 | Uberlandia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bataguassu(home) | 0-4 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Bataguassu(away) | 1-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 0-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Costa Rica (away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Operario Ferroviario wins, 2 draws, 0 Naviraiense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Naviraiense 0-0 Operario Ferroviario | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Naviraiense 1-1 Operario Ferroviario | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Operario Ferroviario 1-0 Naviraiense | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Naviraiense 0-1 Operario Ferroviario | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: Naviraiense vs Operario Ferroviario on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Operario Ferroviario score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naviraiense score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario Ferroviario | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Naviraiense | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Operario Ferroviario sit 2nd in Sul-Matogrossense (17 points from 9 matches) and Naviraiense sit 1st (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Operario Ferroviario | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
A question about Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Operario Ferroviario the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Naviraiense.
- Where and when is Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense played?
- Operario Ferroviario vs Naviraiense is played on January 20, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.