Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?
East Kilbride starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cove Rangers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; East Kilbride have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 5-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cove Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 East Kilbride win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride 3-0 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Cove Rangers 3-2 East Kilbride | League Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | East Kilbride 3-2 Cove Rangers | Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cove Rangers score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| East Kilbride | 2.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cove Rangers sit 7th in League One (4 points from 4 matches) and East Kilbride sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?
- The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cove Rangers.
- Where and when is Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride played?
- Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.