Match

Montrose vs Peterhead: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose

MontrosePeterhead

The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montrose wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montrose vs Peterhead?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Montrose (1,632) and Peterhead (1,577).

40%27%33%
Montrose winDrawPeterhead win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montrose vs Peterhead

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montrose

4-4-1-1
  1. 16J. Sutherland
  1. 19G. Oliver
  2. 8J. Barjonas
  3. 11B. Lyons
  4. 12K. Freeman
  5. 22H. Craig
  1. 4A. Quinn
  2. 5S. McGinty
  3. 3F. Duffy
  4. 15C. Oosenbrugh
  1. 1C. Gill

Peterhead

4-2-3-1
  1. 7L. Keir
  1. 21D. Forrest
  2. 6B. Yule
  3. 18Z. To
  4. 8A. McCarthy
  5. 9M. Megginson
  1. 5Jason Brown
  2. 4A. Graham
  3. 2D. Strachan
  4. 46Josh Kerr
  1. 31C. Hepburn

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Peterhead have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montrose
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Dundee United II(home)2-1Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Ross County(home)0-5League One
Oct 3, 2026Airdrie United(away)0-1League One
Sep 26, 2026Kelty Hearts(away)1-2Challenge Cup
Sep 22, 2026Formartine United(away)2-3Challenge Cup
Peterhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Rangers U21(home)1-0Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Queen of the South(home)0-1League One
Oct 3, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)1-2League One
Sep 26, 2026Elgin City(home)0-1Challenge Cup
Sep 22, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)2-0Challenge Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montrose wins, 3 draws, 0 Peterhead wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Peterhead 0-3 MontroseLeague One
Mar 21, 2026Peterhead 1-1 MontroseLeague One
Feb 10, 2026Montrose 1-1 PeterheadLeague One
Nov 15, 2025Peterhead 1-1 MontroseLeague One
Aug 30, 2025Montrose 2-1 PeterheadLeague One
Nov 30, 2024Peterhead 2-3 MontroseFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Peterhead vs Montrose on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Montrose score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Peterhead score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montrose1.71.548/1513/15
Peterhead1.31.338/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montrose sit 4th in League One (15 points from 10 matches) and Peterhead sit 9th (7 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Montrose10505131915
9Peterhead102177177

A question about Montrose vs Peterhead?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Peterhead?
The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Peterhead.
Where and when is Montrose vs Peterhead played?
Montrose vs Peterhead is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montrose and Peterhead

Ready to know everything about football?