Montrose vs Peterhead: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Peterhead?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Montrose (1,611) and Peterhead (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Peterhead have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montrose win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Peterhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Peterhead 1-1 Montrose | League One |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Montrose 1-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Peterhead 1-1 Montrose | League One |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Montrose 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Peterhead 2-3 Montrose | FA Cup |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Montrose 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterhead vs Montrose on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Peterhead | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 8th in League One (3 points from 4 matches) and Peterhead sit 5th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Peterhead?
- The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Peterhead played?
- Montrose vs Peterhead is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.