Ross County vs Airdrie United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Airdrie United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ross County vs Airdrie United?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ross County have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Airdrie United have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ross County win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Airdrie United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-3 Ross County | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Airdrie United 0-3 Ross County | League Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ross County 0-4 Airdrie United | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Airdrie United 0-1 Ross County | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ross County 1-2 Airdrie United | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Airdrie United 2-2 Ross County | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Ross County on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Airdrie United score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Airdrie United | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ross County sit 2nd in League One (9 points from 3 matches) and Airdrie United sit 9th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Airdrie United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ross County vs Airdrie United?
- The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Airdrie United.
- Where and when is Ross County vs Airdrie United played?
- Ross County vs Airdrie United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Global Energy Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.