Match

Cray Wanderers vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London

Cray WanderersAveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Aveley?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,825) and Aveley (1,883).

Cray Wanderers win33 %
Draw24 %
Aveley win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cray Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Cheshunt(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 14, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Cray Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Aveley 2-3 Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 9, 2026Cray Wanderers 0-3 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 21, 2023Aveley 0-1 Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 5, 2022Cray Wanderers 2-1 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 1, 2020Aveley 1-1 Cray WanderersFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Cray Wanderers on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cray Wanderers1.91.5411/1512/15
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aveley42111067
15Cray Wanderers4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Aveley?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cray Wanderers.
Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Aveley played?
Cray Wanderers vs Aveley is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cray Wanderers and Aveley

Ready to know everything about football?