Match

Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex

LewesBurgess Hill Town

The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town?

Burgess Hill Town starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,723).

Lewes win29 %
Draw24 %
Burgess Hill Town win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lewes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026St Albans City(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whitehawk(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Enfield Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Chatham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Burgess Hill Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Brentwood Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Dover(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lewes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Burgess Hill Town 2-1 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 25, 2025Lewes 3-0 Burgess Hill TownNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Lewes on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lewes1.11.738/1511/15
Burgess Hill Town1.61.728/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Lewes4211557
14Burgess Hill Town4121655

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town?
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes.
Where and when is Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town played?
Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lewes and Burgess Hill Town

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