Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town?
Burgess Hill Town starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lewes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Lewes 3-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Lewes on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Lewes vs Burgess Hill Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027DartfordvsSt Albans City
- Mar 27, 2027LeatherheadvsEnfield Town
- Mar 27, 2027WhitehawkvsCarshalton Athletic
- Mar 27, 2027Brentwood TownvsWelling United
- Mar 27, 2027RamsgatevsDulwich Hamlet
- Mar 27, 2027Three BridgesvsWhyteleafe
- Mar 27, 2027CheshuntvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Mar 27, 2027Cray WanderersvsAveley