Whitehawk vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitehawk vs Carshalton Athletic?
Carshalton Athletic starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Whitehawk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 2-2 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Whitehawk 2-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Whitehawk 2-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 2-2 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Whitehawk 1-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Whitehawk on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Whitehawk vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Whitehawk vs Carshalton Athletic is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.