Lewes vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Cray Wanderers?
Cray Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lewes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cray Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Lewes 2-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Lewes 4-3 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 1-3 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 1-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Lewes 1-0 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Cray Wanderers vs Lewes on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Lewes vs Cray Wanderers is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027St Albans CityvsCarshalton Athletic
- Apr 10, 2027AveleyvsBurgess Hill Town
- Apr 10, 2027Brentwood TownvsChatham Town
- Apr 10, 2027WhyteleafevsMaldon & Tiptree
- Apr 10, 2027RamsgatevsWhitehawk
- Apr 10, 2027Three BridgesvsStanway Rovers
- Apr 10, 2027CheshuntvsLeatherhead
- Apr 10, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsDartford