Lewes vs St Albans City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes St Albans City the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs St Albans City?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Lewes (1,723) and St Albans City (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; St Albans City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lewes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St Albans City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City 0-2 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Lewes 1-0 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 23, 2025 | St Albans City 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: St Albans City vs Lewes on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and St Albans City sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs St Albans City?
- The Footlab model makes St Albans City the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs St Albans City played?
- Lewes vs St Albans City is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 3, 2027WhitehawkvsAveley
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- Apr 3, 2027RamsgatevsEnfield Town
- Apr 3, 2027Three BridgesvsChatham Town
- Apr 3, 2027CheshuntvsDulwich Hamlet
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