Crewe vs Carlisle: result 3-2 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 1, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Carlisle?
Crewe won 3-2 on January 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′J. EllisCarlisle
- 32′C. LongCrewe
- 78′K. HarrisCarlisle
- 90′O. BogleCrewe
- 90′J. LankesterCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Carlisle have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Colchester(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Wrexham(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Morecambe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Port Vale(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crewe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Carlisle 1-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Crewe 0-3 Carlisle | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Carlisle 0-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Crewe 4-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Carlisle 2-4 Crewe | League Two |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Crewe 2-1 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 0.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 2/15 |
| Carlisle | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy