Croatia vs Greece: result 4-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe2nd RoundKick-off on November 9, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Croatia vs Greece?
Croatia won 4-1 on November 9, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. ModrićCroatia (pen.)
- 19′N. KalinićCroatia
- 30′S. PapastathopoulosGreece
- 33′I. PerišićCroatia
- 49′A. KramarićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Greece have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2017 | Ukraine(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2017 | Finland(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Türkiye(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Kosovo(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 11, 2017 | Iceland(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2017 | Gibraltar(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Cyprus(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Belgium(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Aug 31, 2017 | Estonia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2017 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Greece score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Greece | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (22 points from 8 matches) and Greece sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy