Croatia vs Czechia: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Croatia the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Czechia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Croatia vs Czechia?
Croatia starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Croatia vs Czechia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Croatia
4-2-3-1- 20I. Matanović
- 14I. Perišić
- 8M. Kovačić
- 10L. Modrić
- 17P. Sučić
- 13N. Vlašić
- 4J. Gvardiol
- 2J. Stanišić
- 5L. Vušković
- 6J. Šutalo
- 1D. Livaković
Czechia
4-2-3-1- 10A. Hložek
- 13L. Ambros
- 8M. Sadílek
- 15P. Šulc
- 21A. Král
- 20O. Lingr
- 7J. Sláma
- 4R. Hranáč
- 6Š. Chaloupek
- 5V. Coufal
- 16L. Horníček
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Czechia have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Spain(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | England(home) | 0-7 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Czechia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | England(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | England(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Croatia wins, 3 draws, 0 Czechia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Czechia 1-2 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Czechia 0-0 Croatia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Croatia 5-1 Czechia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Croatia 1-1 Czechia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Czechia 2-2 Croatia | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Czechia score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Czechia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Czechia sit 4th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Croatia vs Czechia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Croatia vs Czechia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Croatia the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Czechia.
- Where and when is Croatia vs Czechia played?
- Croatia vs Czechia is played on November 15, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Khalifa International Stadium, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.