Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stangmore Park, Dungannon
The Footlab model makes Dungannon Swifts the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Crusaders FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Dungannon Swifts (1,541) and Crusaders FC (1,458).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dungannon Swifts have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Crusaders FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dungannon Swifts win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Crusaders FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Crusaders FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Crusaders FC 1-5 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Crusaders FC 4-2 Dungannon Swifts | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crusaders FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Crusaders FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dungannon Swifts sit 5th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Crusaders FC sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Crusaders FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?
- The Footlab model makes Dungannon Swifts the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Crusaders FC.
- Where and when is Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC played?
- Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stangmore Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.