Match

Cruz A. vs SC Rio Grande: prediction and stats

Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

Cruz A.SC Rio Grande

The Footlab model makes Cruz A. the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for SC Rio Grande. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cruz A. vs SC Rio Grande?

Cruz A. win53 %
Draw27 %
SC Rio Grande win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Cruz A. have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; SC Rio Grande have 4, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Rio Grande
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 30, 2025Guarani RS(away)0-4Gaúcho - 3
Nov 23, 2025Guarani RS(home)0-2Gaúcho - 3
Nov 16, 2025FBC Riograndense RS(home)2-1Gaúcho - 3
Nov 9, 2025São Paulo RS(away)0-1Gaúcho - 3
Oct 25, 2025São Gabriel(home)3-1Gaúcho - 3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cruz A. vs SC Rio Grande?
The Footlab model makes Cruz A. the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for SC Rio Grande.
Where and when is Cruz A. vs SC Rio Grande played?
Cruz A. vs SC Rio Grande is played on September 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Gaúcho - 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cruz A. and SC Rio Grande

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