Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Penedense: result 0-1 and analysis
Alagoano1st Phase - 4Kick-off on February 11, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
Full time
What was the result of Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Penedense?
Penedense won 0-1 on February 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 65′Elilson Correia da ConceiçãoPenedense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro Arapiraca have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Penedense have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | CEO(away) | 1-3 | Copa Alagoas |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Murici Fc(away) | 0-2 | Alagoano |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Zumbi(home) | 2-0 | Copa Alagoas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CSA(home) | 0-2 | Alagoano |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ASA(away) | 1-2 | Alagoano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | Zumbi(away) | 2-0 | Copa Alagoas |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CEO(home) | 1-0 | Copa Alagoas |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CSE(home) | 1-1 | Alagoano |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Coruripe(away) | 0-0 | Alagoano |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CRB(home) | 0-1 | Alagoano |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro Arapiraca score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penedense score 0.8 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Penedense | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 1/5 | 0/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro Arapiraca sit 5th in Alagoano (6 points from 7 matches) and Penedense sit 7th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 7 | Penedense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy