Cruzeiro vs Gremio: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 13, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Cruzeiro won 4-1 on July 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′Kaio JorgeCruzeiro
- 33′L. VillalbaCruzeiro
- 54′Kaio JorgeCruzeiro
- 64′André HenriqueGremio
- 77′Kaio JorgeCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2025 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 25, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2025 | Vila Nova(away) | 3-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Juventude(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2025 | Sportivo Luqueno(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 25, 2025 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2025 | CSA(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cruzeiro win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2024 | Cruzeiro 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Gremio 0-2 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Gremio 3-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| May 31, 2023 | Cruzeiro 0-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 17, 2023 | Gremio 1-1 Cruzeiro | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Cruzeiro 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy