Mirassol vs Fluminense: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Mirassol vs Fluminense?
Mirassol won 2-1 on October 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′Guilherme MarquesMirassol
- 56′MartinelliFluminense
- 86′NeguebaMirassol
Official lineup for Mirassol vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mirassol
4-3-3- 77Alesson
- 17Cristian
- 12Guilherme Marques
- 27Gabriel
- 25Neto
- 8Danielzinho
- 6Reinaldo
- 3Jemmes
- 34João Victor
- 20Daniel Borges
- 22Walter
Fluminense
4-2-3-1- 99John Kennedy
- 11Keno
- 32L. Acosta
- 17A. Canobbio
- 8Martinelli
- 35Hércules
- 6Renê
- 22J. Freytes
- 3Thiago Silva
- 2Samuel Xavier
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirassol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Fluminense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Lanus(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Mirassol score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirassol sit 15th in Serie A (33 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | 33 |
A question about Mirassol vs Fluminense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy