Bahia vs Atletico-MG: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 13, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Atletico-MG?
Bahia won 2-1 on July 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 53′Luciano JubaBahia
- 90′HulkAtletico-MG
- 90′M. AraújoBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico-MG have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 12, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Nautico Recife(home) | 3-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 0-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 31, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2025 | Cienciano(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 25, 2025 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2025 | Maringá(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | Bahia 3-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Bahia 4-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Bahia 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2021 | Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 9th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy