CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 15Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, Heredia
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for CS Herediano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Deportivo Saprissa starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Herediano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CS Herediano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Saprissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | CS Herediano 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa | Recopa |
| May 17, 2026 | CS Herediano 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| May 14, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CS Herediano 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Herediano score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Herediano | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Herediano sit 10th in Primera División (2 points from 5 matches) and Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | CS Herediano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for CS Herediano.
- Where and when is CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.