Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 15Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Ángel Lito Pérez Treacy, Puntarenas
The Footlab model makes Puntarenas FC the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Puntarenas FC (1,676) and San Carlos (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puntarenas FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; San Carlos have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puntarenas FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Puntarenas FC 0-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Jan 22, 2026 | San Carlos 1-0 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Nov 24, 2025 | San Carlos 1-1 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 1-2 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | San Carlos 0-1 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puntarenas FC score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas FC | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puntarenas FC sit 7th in Primera División (5 points from 5 matches) and San Carlos sit 6th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes Puntarenas FC the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos played?
- Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Ángel Lito Pérez Treacy, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.