CS Sfaxien vs ES Hammam-Sousse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Taïeb Mhiri, Safāqis
The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 59%, against 28% for a draw and 13% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Sfaxien vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Sfaxien have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; ES Hammam-Sousse have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San-Pédro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CS Sfaxien win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2022 | CS Sfaxien 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2022 | CS Sfaxien 1-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-0 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 9, 2013 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-2 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 9, 2012 | CS Sfaxien 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Hammam-Sousse vs CS Sfaxien on Feb 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
CS Sfaxien score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Sfaxien | 1.5 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Sfaxien sit 6th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and ES Hammam-Sousse sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Sfaxien vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
- The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 59%, against 28% for a draw and 13% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is CS Sfaxien vs ES Hammam-Sousse played?
- CS Sfaxien vs ES Hammam-Sousse is played on January 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Taïeb Mhiri, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.