ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, Radès
The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 82%, against 14% for a draw and 4% for ES Metlaoui. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui?
ES Tunis is a heavy favourite: 2,021 Elo points against 1,707, a 314-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Tunis
4-3-3- 7I. Faraj
- 27H. Mastouri
- 10Lucas Ribeiro Costa
- 8H. Rafia
- 16J. Castillo
- 20H. Mahmoud
- 25R. Chikhaoui
- 12N. Laifi
- 13M. Dräger
- 6H. Jelassi
- 32B. Ben Saïd
ES Metlaoui
4-3-3- 14B. Nana
- 9O. Naffati
- 7B. Hajji
- 18O. Hicheri
- 20A. Ghrissi
- 19C. Bodian
- 5M. Belghith
- 34Montasser Toumi
- 15Y. Soltani
- 26A. Tlili
- 27M. Bejaoui
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Tunis have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; ES Metlaoui have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Asswehly(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asswehly(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ES Sahel(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ES Tunis wins, 2 draws, 0 ES Metlaoui wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | ES Metlaoui 1-3 ES Tunis | Cup |
| Feb 25, 2026 | ES Metlaoui 1-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | ES Tunis 2-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | ES Tunis 3-2 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2024 | ES Metlaoui 1-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | ES Metlaoui 0-2 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Tunis score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ES Metlaoui score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Tunis | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| ES Metlaoui | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Tunis sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and ES Metlaoui sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ES Tunis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 82%, against 14% for a draw and 4% for ES Metlaoui.
- Where and when is ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui played?
- ES Tunis vs ES Metlaoui is played on January 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.