AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, La Marsa
The Footlab AI model makes AS Marsa the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for US Ben Guerdane. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Marsa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate AS Marsa (1,724) and US Ben Guerdane (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Marsa
4-2-3-1- 10M. Hamrouni
- 6K. Khalfa
- 28A. Ben Hamida
- 8A. Guesmi
- 15R. Gneba
- 27M. Khaloui
- 2M. Chaouch
- 5O. Bahri
- 17O. Jebali
- 34M. Kechiche
- 16C. H. Ben
US Ben Guerdane
4-3-3- 7A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
- 33N. Chachia
- 17A. Amri
- 10Ghazi Ayadi
- 8M. Camara
- 21G. Mounguide
- 30D. Oboh
- 25S. Harabi
- 14M. Yeken
- 5T. El Islem
- 31L. Hammami
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Marsa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; US Ben Guerdane have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 AS Marsa wins, 0 draws, 1 US Ben Guerdane win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane 1-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | AS Marsa 1-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | US Ben Guerdane 1-2 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | AS Marsa 2-1 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Marsa score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; US Ben Guerdane score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Marsa | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| US Ben Guerdane | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Marsa sit 11th in Ligue 1 (5 points from 5 matches) and US Ben Guerdane sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | US Ben Guerdane | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Marsa the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for US Ben Guerdane.
- Where and when is AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane played?
- AS Marsa vs US Ben Guerdane is played on January 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.