CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VEB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate CSKA Moscow (2,015) and FC Rostov (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Moscow have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Rostov have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Akron(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CSKA Moscow win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Rostov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 0-0 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 1-1 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 FC Rostov | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Rostov 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 1-0 FC Rostov | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rostov score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Rostov | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov played?
- CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov is played on October 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VEB Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.