Akhmat vs Dynamo: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Akhmat Arena, Groznyi
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akhmat vs Dynamo?
Dynamo starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,900).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Akhmat vs Dynamo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 13M. Konaté
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 18Júlio Romão
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 20M. Samorodov
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Dynamo
4-3-3- 11Arthur Gomes
- 91Y. Gladyshev
- 70K. Tyukavin
- 15D. Glebov
- 10Bitello
- 74D. Fomin
- 57David Ricardo
- 4J. Cáceres
- 8Rubens
- 55M. Osipenko
- 99A. Lunev
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akhmat have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Dynamo have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Akhmat win, 3 draws, 2 Dynamo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Dynamo 3-0 Akhmat | Cup |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Akhmat 2-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Dynamo 2-2 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Dynamo 1-1 Akhmat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Akhmat 1-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Dynamo 4-2 Akhmat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Akhmat score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Dynamo | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Akhmat vs Dynamo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Dynamo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is Akhmat vs Dynamo played?
- Akhmat vs Dynamo is played on October 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Akhmat Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.