CSKA Pomir vs Sardor Tursunzoda: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Politekhnikum (CSKA MO RT), Dushanbe
The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Sardor Tursunzoda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Pomir vs Sardor Tursunzoda?
CSKA Pomir starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,466 vs 1,314).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Pomir have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sardor Tursunzoda have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Parvoz(away) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 CSKA Pomir win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sardor Tursunzoda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda 0-2 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sardor Tursunzoda vs CSKA Pomir on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Pomir score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sardor Tursunzoda score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Pomir | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sardor Tursunzoda | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Pomir sit 4th in Vysshaya Liga (21 points from 13 matches) and Sardor Tursunzoda sit 11th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Pomir | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Pomir vs Sardor Tursunzoda?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Sardor Tursunzoda.
- Where and when is CSKA Pomir vs Sardor Tursunzoda played?
- CSKA Pomir vs Sardor Tursunzoda is played on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Politekhnikum (CSKA MO RT), in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.