Khatlon vs Parvoz: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vaxş-Arena, Kurgan-Tyube
The Footlab AI model makes Khatlon the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Parvoz. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khatlon vs Parvoz?
Khatlon starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,437 vs 1,186).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Khatlon vs Parvoz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Khatlon
Not enough data to predict the Khatlon lineup.
Parvoz
Not enough data to predict the Parvoz lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khatlon have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Parvoz have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Istaravshan(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eskhata(home) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 3-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 0-4 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 0-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Khatlon wins, 2 draws, 2 Parvoz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Parvoz 1-1 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Khatlon 2-1 Parvoz | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Parvoz 0-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Parvoz 2-1 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Khatlon 1-0 Parvoz | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Parvoz 1-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Khatlon score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Parvoz score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khatlon | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Parvoz | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khatlon sit 8th in Vysshaya Liga (20 points from 17 matches) and Parvoz sit 10th (15 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Khatlon | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 20 |
| 10 | Parvoz | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 15 |
A question about Khatlon vs Parvoz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khatlon vs Parvoz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Khatlon the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Parvoz.
- Where and when is Khatlon vs Parvoz played?
- Khatlon vs Parvoz is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vaxş-Arena, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.