Match

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia

CSKA SofiaMonaco

The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for CSKA Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monaco wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,267 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

Monaco starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (2,153 vs 1,934).

23%25%52%
CSKA Sofia winDrawMonaco win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CSKA Sofia

4-4-2
  1. 28I. Pittas
  2. 10J. Zwarts
  1. 7M. Ebong
  2. 8S. Sensi
  3. 6Bruno Jordão
  4. 99J. Eto'o
  1. 14T. Ivanov
  2. 17Á. Martino
  3. 2Pastor
  4. 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
  1. 21F. Lapoukhov

Monaco

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Abline
  1. 8L. Camara
  2. 6D. Zakaria
  3. 10A. Golovin
  4. 37E. Diop
  5. 7M. Detourbet
  1. 15E. Dier
  2. 72Sadibou Sané
  3. 2Vanderson
  4. 20Flávio Nazinho
  1. 1L. Hrádecký

Computed on October 12, 2026 at 03:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Monaco have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CSKA Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026CSKA 1948(away)3-2First League
Sep 20, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away)1-1First League
Sep 16, 2026Lokomotiv Sofia(away)2-0First League
Sep 12, 2026Arda Kardzhali(home)4-1First League
Sep 9, 2026Levski Sofia(away)4-2Super Cup
Monaco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Toulouse(home)2-2Ligue 1
Sep 18, 2026Lens(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2026Strasbourg(away)1-1Ligue 1
Sep 4, 2026Paris Saint Germain(away)2-1Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026Marseille(home)2-0Ligue 1

How many goals should we expect?

CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CSKA Sofia2.11.158/1510/15
Monaco2.11.5310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for CSKA Sofia.
Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs Monaco played?
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco is played on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CSKA Sofia and Monaco

Ready to know everything about football?