Cuba vs Grenada: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Panamericano, La Habana
The Footlab AI model makes Cuba the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Grenada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cuba wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cuba vs Grenada?
Cuba starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,500 vs 1,351).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cuba vs Grenada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cuba
4-2-3-1- 23L. Paradela
- 14K. Espino
- 15Y. Pérez
- 6M. Campos
- 7M. Camejo
- 20A. Borrell
- 4L. Mena
- 10D. Reyes
- 17E. Nebreda
- 9D. Díaz
- 21Y. Zayas
Grenada
4-4-2- 8M. Hippolyte
- 9L. Akins
- 11Shavon Owner John-Brown
- 15J. Francis
- 14P. Muirhead
- 17A. Charles
- 5Kayden Harrack
- 16A. Paterson
- 13Greg Sandiford
- 91R. Frank
- 1Trishawn Thomas
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cuba have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Grenada have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(away) | 3-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Bonaire(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Grenada(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Dominican Republic(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bonaire(home) | 1-4 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bonaire(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Cuba(home) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| May 16, 2026 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Cuba wins, 1 draw, 1 Grenada win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Grenada 0-3 Cuba | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Grenada 2-0 Cuba | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Grenada 0-2 Cuba | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Dec 5, 2010 | Grenada 0-1 Cuba | Caribbean Cup |
| Nov 30, 2010 | Cuba 0-0 Grenada | Caribbean Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Cuba score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grenada score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Grenada | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Cuba vs Grenada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cuba vs Grenada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cuba the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Grenada.
- Where and when is Cuba vs Grenada played?
- Cuba vs Grenada is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Panamericano, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.