Cukaricki vs Zemun: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion na Banovom brdu, Beograd
The Footlab model makes Cukaricki the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Zemun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cukaricki vs Zemun?
Cukaricki starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cukaricki have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Zemun have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(away) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cukaricki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zemun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Zemun 0-3 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Jul 21, 2018 | Cukaricki 1-1 Zemun | Super Liga |
| Dec 4, 2017 | Cukaricki 4-1 Zemun | Super Liga |
| Aug 13, 2017 | Zemun 2-0 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Cukaricki score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zemun score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cukaricki | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Zemun | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cukaricki sit 5th in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and Zemun sit 14th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Zemun | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cukaricki vs Zemun?
- The Footlab model makes Cukaricki the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Zemun.
- Where and when is Cukaricki vs Zemun played?
- Cukaricki vs Zemun is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion na Banovom brdu, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.