FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Mladost Lucani. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani?
FK Crvena Zvezda is a heavy favourite: 2,047 Elo points against 1,682 — a 366-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Crvena Zvezda have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mladost Lucani have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mladost Lucani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Mladost Lucani 1-4 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 3-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Mladost Lucani 0-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Jul 27, 2024 | FK Crvena Zvezda 2-2 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Jun 28, 2024 | FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Mladost Lucani | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mladost Lucani score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Mladost Lucani | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st in Super Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and Mladost Lucani sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Mladost Lucani.
- Where and when is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani played?
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rajko Mitić, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.