Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EFBET Stadion, Surdulica
The Footlab model makes Radnik Surdulica the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Radnicki NIS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Radnik Surdulica (1,718) and Radnicki NIS (1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radnik Surdulica have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Radnicki NIS have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macva(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macva(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Radnik Surdulica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Radnicki NIS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica 2-2 Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Radnicki NIS 4-2 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Radnicki NIS 1-0 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Radnicki NIS 0-3 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Radnik Surdulica 0-0 Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| Apr 27, 2023 | Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radnik Surdulica score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Radnicki NIS score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Surdulica | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Radnicki NIS | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radnik Surdulica sit 7th in Super Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Radnicki NIS sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS?
- The Footlab model makes Radnik Surdulica the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Radnicki NIS.
- Where and when is Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS played?
- Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EFBET Stadion, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.