Cumbayá vs El Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 6Kick-off on March 30, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Cumbayá won 1-0 on March 30, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′Melvin Fabricio Díaz CanenciaCumbayá (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbayá have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; El Nacional have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Imbabura(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Aucas(away) | 4-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Emelec(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Macara(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cumbayá win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 El Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | El Nacional 2-2 Cumbayá | Liga Pro |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Cumbayá 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Cumbayá 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2021 | El Nacional 2-1 Cumbayá | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Cumbayá 1-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 8, 2021 | El Nacional 2-0 Cumbayá | Liga Pro Serie B |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs Cumbayá on Aug 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cumbayá score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbayá | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | El Nacional | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 67 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy